Las Vegas likes the home teams this weekend. Both USC and Clemson have opened as early favorites for their respective home games this weekend. During the month of November we will take a look at the early Vegas lines and add our own analysis to see if we can get an early, but hopefully accurate, handicap of the upcoming games.
Remember folks, this is for entertainment purposes only, please don’t go out and bet your house on Clemson because we predicted your team to win.
18th ranked USC (6-2, 4-2 SEC) is a three point favorite against 17th ranked Arkansas. The Gamecocks have not lost a home since last year’s November 14th game against top ranked Florida. There is no doubt Carolina has established a home field advantage at Williams-Brice Stadium, but will it be enough to slow down Ryan Mallett and the Razorback passing attack? The Gamecock secondary gave up 312 passing against a bad Tennessee offense. On the plus side, even though we don’t know who is calling the plays at any given moment, the USC offense continues to put up solid numbers and points.
Monday lean: I haven’t seen the over/under come out yet, but I’m guessing that will be a big number. This has the makings of a shootout. Think mini-version of Arkansas-Auburn a few weeks ago. Right now, I’m taking Arkansas and the points. Do you see the Gamecock secondary slowing down the league’s best passing offense? Me either. Plus this game means nothing to USC in the SEC race. Not that Carolina doesn’t want to beat the Hogs, but they know next week’s game in the Swamp is the one that really counts.
Clemson is a 2 ½ point favorite over N.C. State in Saturday’s Textile Bowl. Even with the home field, it is a bit surprising to see Clemson favored here. The Tigers are coming off an inexcusable, yet somehow annual loss to a team they should and could have beat by four scores. The Wolfpack is fresh off a win over the 16th ranked Florida State and are ranked 23rd in this week’s AP poll. Clemson won’t have its leading rusher and Kyle Parker may be wishing he didn’t turn down the extra cash from the Rockies to instead return to college football.
Monday lean: A Rockies prospect will get the win Saturday, his name is Russell Wilson. Mobile quarterbacks like Wilson have given the Tigers fits for a while now. Unlike Clemson, State is still playing for the division title. Pack don’t need the 2 ½ points, they win straight up.
The annual Textile Bowl will probably lead to more of the annual “Fire our coach now!” talk from the Clemson fans. Rumor has it Dabo Swinney is a Bruce Springsteen fan. After Saturday’s game he may have his Boss lyric stuck in his head:
They’re closing down the textile mill across the railroad tracks
Foreman says these jobs are going boys and they ain’t coming back to your hometown